Page 1 of 1

Surf Forecast for the KSUSA Contest

Posted: Thu Jan 06, 2011 1:04 pm
by Ler
Is there any swell in the water for the KSUSA contest in HB next week? Is it to early to tell?

Posted: Thu Jan 06, 2011 2:02 pm
by eqKneelo
There better be... cause THIS weekend is gonna be epic. :x

Perfect combo swells and offshores.

Pray for surf.

where

Posted: Thu Jan 06, 2011 8:36 pm
by Ler
where you surfing EQ?

Posted: Thu Jan 06, 2011 9:06 pm
by kbk66
Where you surfing ? LER

hey

Posted: Thu Jan 06, 2011 9:57 pm
by Ler
:arrow:

Posted: Fri Jan 07, 2011 4:39 pm
by gumby
Long range forcast MSW
2-3 offshore friday
2-4 offshore Saturday
:D :wink:

Potential

Posted: Sun Jan 09, 2011 7:48 am
by Chris Buscemi
Swell Forecast and Schedule
Synopsis
Buoys are showing the latest NW ground swell backing down and some southern hemi is in the background. Harvest has been showing wind and ground swell in the 8-9' range the past few hours with 8-13 second periods. Closer to the coast the action is even less exciting with Ventura Nearshore showing NW at 3' at 14 seconds, and Dana Pt. showing mostly southerly energy at 2' at 14 seconds. Water temps are fairly seasonable with SD/OC running 57-58° (but Newport 55°), LA 55-56°, and VC/SB 53-54°. Tide is hardly an issue today with a 2.3' low around 6:00 AM going to a 4' high around 11:30 AM. The tide will start to swing more widely this next weekend.

NW and SW swells are on the way out today and will fade further through Thursday. In fact, it may be quite lake-like midweek. Things though should turn around for the end of the week.

One of those Aleutian systems on last week's models will increase some NW ground swell on Friday the 14th, but something better sized could hit on the 15th. For Friday the 14th, as you may recall from last week's reports, we're due for some long period ground swell (16+ seconds), but since the system got blocked by high pressure in the eastern Pacific and driven north prematurely into the Gulf, we're looking at waist to maybe chest high max surf coming in from around 290° or so. But Saturday, so far, is looking bigger.

The 60h models today show a reform of the system bringing swell on Friday the 14th. This would create a fetch with about 25' seas at a fairly low latitude north of Hawaii (at about 35N...SoCal is at just about 33N) that would increase surf in SoCal Saturday the 15th. This system isn't expected to hold together much as it progresses across the eastern half of the northern Pacific, but even with just 15-20' seas, once this fetch gets within 1000 miles of our coast, given the low latitude this system, it could bring overhead WNW swell from around 275°. Anytime a system though gets that close to SoCal (some models show just a few hundred miles, in fact), it usually spells weather issues, and such is the case with this system. The low associated with this one is the same low that could bring rain to areas north of Pt. Conception Thursday. While SoCal is expected to remain dry, when the swell arrives (Saturday), we may see a heavier onshore flow. Given the potential proximity of this system it'll need further monitoring over the next few days.

Note also that a smidgen of southern hemi is due on Saturday the 15th as well. This is from weak activity that stirred up south of French Polynesia late last week, and is due to bring some waist high waves to south facing breaks. Wrap from the NW though is looking far greater in size, so far.

swell

Posted: Sun Jan 09, 2011 12:19 pm
by Jack Beresford
BRING IT ON! :D

Posted: Mon Jan 10, 2011 7:25 pm
by Mike Fernandez
Waves should be bigger Fri/Sat. The tide on Sat. will be around 5ft for the morning heats, draining to about 1/2 ft for the afternoon. Big difference for the surf I think. :wink:

ride with pride

Posted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 5:49 pm
by stonefish
Im gonna enjoy hearing the water referees hold back the multitudes while just a few kneeboarding bros get to bust loose in the juice! bring on the offs!
the surf wont fail us!

champs

Posted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 6:10 pm
by badknees1
tripod - check, batteries -check, camera - check, looks like good conditions to document a gathering of The Kneehood.